Arizona State 2024 Win Total: Trends of 4.5 Win Total Teams

Arizona State 2024 Win Total: Trends of 4.5 Win Total Teams
Fact Checked by Thomas Leary

It’s been a bit of a down stretch for Arizona State Sun Devils football, which is coming off the program’s worst three-year stretch (win percentage wise) since moving from the WAC to the then-Pac-10 in 1978. 

Between 2021 and 2023, the Devils have gone 14-23, evening out to a .378-win percentage, which ranks as the worst three-year period in that 46-year stretch, behind the period from 2008 to 2010, when ASU went 15-21 (.417).  

This fall, second-year head coach Kenny Dillingham is looking to turn the corner and get ASU back to respectability on the gridiron and at Arizona sportsbooks as the Devils move from the Pac-12 to the Big 12 in 2024.  

Fresh off the program’s first stretch of consecutive seasons with four or fewer wins since going 4-15-2 in the BIAA in 1942 and 1946 (the years between a World War II-related pause in football), Dillingham is tasked with starting anew in Tempe this fall.  

Utilizing FanDuel Arizona’s current win total for the 2024 college football season, Arizona State was found to be set at 4.5 wins (+124 over). Utilizing SportsReference.com, we found all teams with a 4.5-win total line in the last 3 seasons and how they performed.

Season Performance Of 4.5 Win Total College Football Teams

The information below can be useful while navigating Arizona betting apps. Here are the numbers for teams with an 4.5 win total to begin the season.

Situation 

Number of Teams  

Percentage* 

Under 4.5 Wins 

18 of 31 

58.1% 

Over 4.5 Wins 

13 of 31 

41.9% 

Average Win Total of Teams

4.58 wins*

*Rounded

Worst Three-Year Stretches in ASU FB History

2021-2023: 14-23 (.378) 

2008-2010: 15-21 (.417) 

1993-1995: 15-18 (.454) 

2001-2003: 17-20 (.459) 

1990-1992: 16-17 (.485)  

1998-2000: 17-18 (.486) 

USA Today photo by Patrick Breen.

Can Dillingham Get ASU Over the Hump This Fall?

Of the 31 teams that entered the season with a win total over/under of 4.5 since 2014, 18 of them cleared that figure at year’s end (58.1%), while 13 (or 41.9%) failed to do so.  

The average win total of teams in ASU’s shoes (4.58) illustrates how razor thin the margin for error is for teams that have such a low success outlook at the dawn of the college football season, while also illustrating the long rebuild that Dillingham inherited from Herm Edwards.  

This fall, ASU will look to turn the tide by holding serve in their new conference digs, with Big 12 home games against Kansas (Oct. 5), Utah (Oct. 11), UCF (Nov. 9) and BYU (Nov. 23) to go with road clashes against Texas Tech (Sept. 21), Cincinnati (Oct. 19), Oklahoma State (Nov. 2), Kansas State (Nov. 16) and Arizona (Nov. 30). 

Throw in non-conference games against Wyoming (Aug. 31) and Mississippi State (Sept. 7) at Sun Devil Stadium and a Week 3 clash against Texas State in San Marcos on Sept. 12 and you have the full rundown on ASU’s slate of games this fall as Dillingham looks to get the Devils over the hump and back to respectability in 2024.  

MORE: Arizona 2024 Win Total: Trends of 7.5 Win Total Teams.

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Author

Christopher Boan is the lead writer at BetArizona.com after covering sports and sports betting in Arizona for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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